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1.
Int J Cardiol ; 391: 131262, 2023 11 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37574023

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Individuals with significant asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) could benefit from specific interventions to prevent heart attack and stroke, but are often clinically 'silent'. We aimed to determine detection rate of ACAS and AF by screening, targeting a population at increased cardiovascular risk. METHODS: Data on adults who attended voluntary and self-funded commercial screening clinics in the United States or the United Kingdom between 2008 and 2013 were used. The Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk equation was applied to each participants and detection rates of targeted screening for ≥50% ACAS and AF to those at highest risk of CVD was assessed. RESULTS: Among 0.4 million individuals between 40 and 80 years, without CVD, 6191 (1.6%) had ACAS and 1026 (0.3%) had AF. Selective screening of participants with a predicted 10-year CVD risk of ≥20% identified 40% of ACAS cases, a prevalence of 3.7%, leading to a number needed to screen (NNS) of 27, as well as 39% of AF cases, a prevalence of 0.6%, with a NNS of 170. Selective screening of those with a predicted 10-year CVD risk of ≥15% identified 54% of ACAS cases, a prevalence of 3.3%, and an NNS of 31, as well as 51% of AF cases, a prevalence of 0.5%, with an NNS of 195. CONCLUSIONS: Selective screening for ACAS and AF implemented in ASCVD risk assessment greatly reduces the NNS when compared with population-level screening with detection rates of ACAS and AF substantially greater in people at higher predicted CVD risk.


Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis , Atrial Fibrillation , Cardiovascular Diseases , Carotid Stenosis , Stroke , Adult , Humans , Carotid Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Stenosis/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/etiology , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Mass Screening
2.
Stroke ; 54(7): 1735-1749, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37309688

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Effectiveness of carotid procedures (surgery and stenting) in patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) depends on the absolute risk reduction that patients might receive from these procedures. We aimed to quantify the risk of ipsilateral ischemic stroke and examined temporal trends and determinants of these risks in patients with ACAS treated conservatively. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review from inception to March 9, 2023, of peer-reviewed trials and cohort studies describing ipsilateral ischemic stroke risk in medically treated patients with ACAS of ≥50%. Risk of bias was assessed with an adapted version of the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. We calculated the annual incidence rates of ipsilateral ischemic stroke. We explored temporal trends and associations of sex and degree of stenosis with ipsilateral ischemic stroke using Poisson metaregression analysis and incidence rate ratios, respectively. RESULTS: After screening 5915 reports, 73 studies describing ipsilateral ischemic stroke rates of 28 625 patients with midyear of recruitment ranging from 1976 to 2014 were included. The incidence of ipsilateral ischemic stroke was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.93-1.04) per 100 patient-years (median duration of follow-up, 3.3 years). The incidence decreased 24% with every 5 years more recent midyear of recruitment (rate ratio, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.73-0.78]). Incidence rates of ipsilateral ischemic stroke were lower in female patients (rate ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.63-0.87]) and in patients with moderate versus severe stenosis when assessed in cohort studies, with incidence rate ratios of 0.41 ([95% CI, 0.35-0.49] cutoff, 70%) and 0.42 ([95% CI, 0.30-0.59] cutoff, 80%). CONCLUSIONS: Reported risks of ipsilateral ischemic stroke in patients with ACAS have declined 24% every 5 years from mid-1970s onward, further challenging the routine use of carotid procedures. Risks were lower in female patients and more than twice as high with severe compared with moderate ACAS. Inclusion of these findings in individualized risk assessment can help to determine the benefit of carotid procedures in selected individual patients with ACAS. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/; Unique identifier: CRD42021222940.


Subject(s)
Carotid Stenosis , Endarterectomy, Carotid , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Female , Carotid Stenosis/complications , Carotid Stenosis/epidemiology , Carotid Stenosis/therapy , Stroke/etiology , Constriction, Pathologic/complications , Cohort Studies , Ischemic Stroke/complications , Endarterectomy, Carotid/adverse effects , Risk Factors
4.
Stroke ; 53(10): 3064-3071, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35862220

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the long-term risks of stroke and ischemic heart disease (IHD) in women who had a hysterectomy alone (HA) or with bilateral oophorectomy (HBO) for benign diseases, particularly in China where the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is high. We assessed mean levels of cardiovascular risk factors and relative risks of stroke and IHD in Chinese women who had a HA or HBO. METHODS: A total of 302 510 women, aged 30 to 79 years were enrolled in the China Kadoorie Biobank from 2004 to 2008 and followed up for a mean of 9.8 years. The analysis involved premenopausal women without prior cardiovascular disease or cancer at enrollment. We calculated adjusted hazard ratios for incident cases of CVD and their pathological types (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and IHD) after HA and HBO. Analyses were stratified by age and region and adjusted for levels of education, household income, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, self-reported health, and number of pregnancies. RESULTS: Among 282 722 eligible women, 8478 had HA, and 1360 had HBO. Women who had HA had 9% higher risk of CVD after HA (hazard ratio, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.06-1.12]) and 19% higher risk of CVD after HBO (1.19 [95% CI, 1.12-1.26]) compared with women who did not. Both HA and HBO were associated with higher risks of ischemic stroke and IHD but not with hemorrhagic stroke. The relative risks of CVD associated with HA and HBO were more extreme at younger age of surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Women who had either HA or HBO have higher risks of ischemic stroke and IHD, and these risks should be evaluated when discussing these interventions. Additional screening for risk factors for CVD should be considered in women following HA and HBO operations, especially if such operations are performed at younger age.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Hemorrhagic Stroke , Ischemic Stroke , Myocardial Ischemia , Stroke , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , China/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Hysterectomy/adverse effects , Ovariectomy/adverse effects , Risk Factors , Stroke/epidemiology
5.
Circ Res ; 131(2): e22-e33, 2022 07 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35713008

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: IL-6 (interleukin-6) has important roles in atherosclerosis pathophysiology. To determine if anti-IL-6 therapy warrants evaluation as an adjuvant stroke prevention strategy in patients with carotid atherosclerosis, we tested whether circulating IL-6 levels predict carotid plaque severity, vulnerability, and progression in the prospective population-based CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). METHODS: Duplex carotid ultrasound was performed at baseline and 5 years. Baseline plaque severity was scored 0 to 5 based on North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial grade of stenosis. Plaque vulnerability at baseline was the presence of markedly irregular, ulcerated, or echolucent plaques. Plaque progression at 5 years was a ≥1 point increase in stenosis severity. The relationship of baseline plasma IL-6 levels with plaque characteristics was modeled using multivariable linear (severity) or logistic (vulnerability and progression) regression. Risk factors of atherosclerosis were included as independent variables. Stepwise backward elimination was used with P>0.05 for variable removal. To assess model stability, we computed the E-value or minimum strength of association (odds ratio scale) that unmeasured confounders must have with log IL-6 and the outcome to suppress the association. We performed internal validation with 100 bootstrap samples. RESULTS: There were 4334 participants with complete data (58.9% women, mean age: 72.7±5.1 years), including 1267 (29.2%) with vulnerable plaque and 1474 (34.0%) with plaque progression. Log IL-6 predicted plaque severity (ß=0.09, P=1.3×10-3), vulnerability (OR, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.05-1.40]; P=7.4×10-3, E-value=1.71), and progression (OR, 1.44 [95% CI, 1.23-1.69], P=9.1×10-6, E-value 2.24). In participants with >50% predicted probability of progression, mean log IL-6 was 0.54 corresponding to 2.0 pg/mL. Dichotomizing IL-6 levels did not affect the performance of prediction models. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating IL-6 predicts carotid plaque severity, vulnerability, and progression. The 2.0 pg/mL cutoff could facilitate the selection of individuals that would benefit from anti-IL-6 drugs for stroke prevention.


Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis , Carotid Stenosis , Endarterectomy, Carotid , Plaque, Atherosclerotic , Stroke , Aged , Atherosclerosis/etiology , Carotid Stenosis/complications , Carotid Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Constriction, Pathologic/complications , Endarterectomy, Carotid/adverse effects , Female , Humans , Interleukin-6 , Male , Plaque, Atherosclerotic/etiology , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Stroke/etiology
6.
Neurosurg Rev ; 45(1): 231-241, 2022 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34191202

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We sought to quantify the risks of neurosurgical excision of cerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) in a systematic review of cohort studies. METHODS: We updated our previous systematic review by searching OVID Medline, OVID EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from 1 January 2013 to 30 April 2019. The primary outcome was a composite of death attributed to CCM or surgery, non-fatal symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), or new or worsened persistent non-haemorrhagic focal neurological deficit (FND). RESULTS: We included 70 cohorts, 67 reporting surgery alone, and three compared surgery to conservative management. A total of 5,089 patients (median age 36 years, 52% female) underwent surgery (total follow-up 19,404 patient-years). The annual rate of the composite outcome was 4.2% (95% CI 2.9 to 5.7; 46 cohorts; I2 = 93%), which was higher in cohorts reporting exclusively brainstem CCM (6.0%, 95% CI 4.1-8.3; 25 cohorts, I2 = 92%) versus predominantly supratentorial CCM (2.4%, 95% CI 1.3-3.8, 21 cohorts, I2 = 86%, phet = 0.001). The annual rate of the composite outcome was higher in cohorts with > 95% presenting with ICH (6.1%, 95% CI 4.2-8.4; 23 cohorts, I2 = 93%) versus others (2.3%, 95% CI 1.2-3.7; 23 cohorts, I2 = 83%, phet = 0.001). The incidence of the composite outcome did not change over time in cohorts of exclusively brainstem CCM (p = 0.7) or predominantly supratentorial CCM (p = 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of death, ICH, or FND after CCM excision is ~ 4%. This risk is higher for brainstem CCM and CCM that have caused ICH but has not changed over time. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This systematic review was registered (PROSPERO CRD42019131246).


Subject(s)
Hemangioma, Cavernous, Central Nervous System , Adult , Brain Stem , Cerebral Hemorrhage , Cohort Studies , Conservative Treatment , Female , Hemangioma, Cavernous, Central Nervous System/surgery , Humans , Male
7.
Stroke ; 53(1): 87-99, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34634926

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The net benefit of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is determined partly by the risk of procedural stroke or death. Current guidelines recommend CEA if 30-day risks are <6% for symptomatic stenosis and <3% for asymptomatic stenosis. We aimed to identify prediction models for procedural stroke or death after CEA and to externally validate these models in a large registry of patients from the United States. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search in MEDLINE and EMBASE for prediction models of procedural outcomes after CEA. We validated these models with data from patients who underwent CEA in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2011-2017). We assessed discrimination using C statistics and calibration graphically. We determined the number of patients with predicted risks that exceeded recommended thresholds of procedural risks to perform CEA. RESULTS: After screening 788 reports, 15 studies describing 17 prediction models were included. Nine were developed in populations including both asymptomatic and symptomatic patients, 2 in symptomatic and 5 in asymptomatic populations. In the external validation cohort of 26 293 patients who underwent CEA, 702 (2.7%) developed a stroke or died within 30-days. C statistics varied between 0.52 and 0.64 using all patients, between 0.51 and 0.59 using symptomatic patients, and between 0.49 to 0.58 using asymptomatic patients. The Ontario Carotid Endarterectomy Registry model that included symptomatic status, diabetes, heart failure, and contralateral occlusion as predictors, had C statistic of 0.64 and the best concordance between predicted and observed risks. This model identified 4.5% of symptomatic and 2.1% of asymptomatic patients with procedural risks that exceeded recommended thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Of the 17 externally validated prediction models, the Ontario Carotid Endarterectomy Registry risk model had most reliable predictions of procedural stroke or death after CEA and can inform patients about procedural hazards and help focus CEA toward patients who would benefit most from it.


Subject(s)
Carotid Stenosis/surgery , Clinical Trials as Topic/standards , Endarterectomy, Carotid/standards , Models, Theoretical , Patient Selection , Registries/standards , Carotid Stenosis/diagnosis , Endarterectomy, Carotid/methods , Humans , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/standards
9.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 10(8): e019025, 2021 04 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33853362

ABSTRACT

Background Associations between adiposity and atrial fibrillation (AF) might differ between sexes. We aimed to determine precise estimates of the risk of AF by body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in men and women. Methods and Results Between 2008 and 2013, over 3.2 million adults attended commercial screening clinics. Participants completed health questionnaires and underwent physical examination along with cardiovascular investigations, including an ECG. We excluded those with cardiovascular and cardiac disease. We used multivariable logistic regression and determined joint associations of BMI and WC and the risk of AF in men and women by comparing likelihood ratio χ2 statistics. Among 2.1 million included participants 12 067 (0.6%) had AF. A positive association between BMI per 5 kg/m2 increment and AF was observed, with an odds ratio of 1.65 (95% CI, 1.57-1.73) for men and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.30-1.42) for women among those with a BMI above 20 kg/m2. We found a positive association between AF and WC per 10 cm increment, with an odds ratio of 1.47 (95% CI, 1.36-1.60) for men and 1.37 (95% CI, 1.26-1.49) for women. Improvement of likelihood ratio χ2 was equal after adding BMI and WC to models with all participants. In men, WC showed stronger improvement of likelihood ratio χ2 than BMI (30% versus 23%). In women, BMI showed stronger improvement of likelihood ratio χ2 than WC (23% versus 12%). Conclusions We found a positive association between BMI (above 20 kg/m2) and AF and between WC and AF in both men and women. BMI seems a more informative measure about risk of AF in women and WC seems more informative in men.


Subject(s)
Adiposity/physiology , Atrial Fibrillation/etiology , Body Mass Index , Obesity/complications , Risk Assessment/methods , Waist Circumference/physiology , Aged , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/physiopathology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Obesity/physiopathology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Sex Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology
10.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 28(6): 586-595, 2021 05 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33624100

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher risk of stroke. While the prevalence of AF is low in the general population, risk prediction models might identify individuals for selective screening of AF. We aimed to systematically identify and compare the utility of established models to predict prevalent AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Systematic search of PubMed and EMBASE for risk prediction models for AF. We adapted established risk prediction models and assessed their predictive performance using data from 2.5M individuals who attended vascular screening clinics in the USA and the UK and in the subset of 1.2M individuals with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2. We assessed discrimination using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves and agreement between observed and predicted cases using calibration plots. After screening 6959 studies, 14 risk prediction models were identified. In our cohort, 10 464 (0.41%) participants had AF. For discrimination, six prediction model had AUROC curves of 0.70 or above in all individuals and those with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2. In these models, calibration plots showed very good concordance between predicted and observed risks of AF. The two models with the highest observed prevalence in the highest decile of predicted risk, CHARGE-AF and MHS, showed an observed prevalence of AF of 1.6% with a number needed to screen of 63. Selective screening of the 10% highest risk identified 39% of cases with AF. CONCLUSION: Prediction models can reliably identify individuals at high risk of AF. The best performing models showed an almost fourfold higher prevalence of AF by selective screening of individuals in the highest decile of risk compared with systematic screening of all cases. REGISTRATION: This systematic review was registered (PROSPERO CRD42019123847).


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Stroke , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Humans , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology
11.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 61(3): 365-373, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33422437

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS) is associated with an increased risk of ischaemic stroke and myocardial infarction. Risk scores have been developed to detect individuals at high risk of ACS, thereby enabling targeted screening, but previous external validation showed scope for refinement of prediction by adding additional predictors. The aim of this study was to develop a novel risk score in a large contemporary screened population. METHODS: A prediction model was developed for moderate (≥50%) and severe (≥70%) ACS using data from 596 469 individuals who attended screening clinics. Variables that predicted the presence of ≥50% and ≥70% ACS independently were determined using multivariable logistic regression. Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping techniques. Discrimination was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) and agreement between predicted and observed cases using calibration plots. RESULTS: Predictors of ≥50% and ≥70% ACS were age, sex, current smoking, diabetes mellitus, prior stroke/transient ischaemic attack, coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial disease, blood pressure, and blood lipids. Models discriminated between participants with and without ACS reliably, with an AUROC of 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.78) for ≥ 50% ACS and 0.82 (95% CI 0.81-0.82) for ≥ 70% ACS. The number needed to screen in the highest decile of predicted risk to detect one case with ≥50% ACS was 13 and that of ≥70% ACS was 58. Targeted screening of the highest decile identified 41% of cases with ≥50% ACS and 51% with ≥70% ACS. CONCLUSION: The novel risk model predicted the prevalence of ACS reliably and performed better than previous models. Targeted screening among the highest decile of predicted risk identified around 40% of all cases with ≥50% ACS. Initiation or intensification of cardiovascular risk management in detected cases might help to reduce both carotid related ischaemic strokes and myocardial infarctions.


Subject(s)
Carotid Stenosis/diagnosis , Carotid Stenosis/etiology , Aged , Asymptomatic Diseases , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
13.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 9(8): e014766, 2020 04 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32310014

ABSTRACT

Background Significant asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS) is associated with higher risk of strokes. While the prevalence of moderate and severe ACS is low in the general population, prediction models may allow identification of individuals at increased risk, thereby enabling targeted screening. We identified established prediction models for ACS and externally validated them in a large screening population. Methods and Results Prediction models for prevalent cases with ≥50% ACS were identified in a systematic review (975 studies reviewed and 6 prediction models identified [3 for moderate and 3 for severe ACS]) and then validated using data from 596 469 individuals who attended commercial vascular screening clinics in the United States and United Kingdom. We assessed discrimination and calibration. In the validation cohort, 11 178 (1.87%) participants had ≥50% ACS and 2033 (0.34%) had ≥70% ACS. The best model included age, sex, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, vascular and cerebrovascular disease, measured blood pressure, and blood lipids. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for this model was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74-0.75) for ≥50% ACS and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77-0.79) for ≥70% ACS. The prevalence of ≥50% ACS in the highest decile of risk was 6.51%, and 1.42% for ≥70% ACS. Targeted screening of the 10% highest risk identified 35% of cases with ≥50% ACS and 42% of cases with ≥70% ACS. Conclusions Individuals at high risk of significant ACS can be selected reliably using a prediction model. The best-performing prediction models identified over one third of all cases by targeted screening of individuals in the highest decile of risk only.


Subject(s)
Carotid Stenosis/diagnosis , Decision Support Techniques , Asymptomatic Diseases , Carotid Stenosis/epidemiology , Humans , Predictive Value of Tests , Prevalence , Prognosis , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology
14.
J Vasc Surg ; 72(1): 335-343.e17, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32139311

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Different competencies and skills are required and obtained during medical specialization. However, whether these have an impact on procedural outcomes of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) or carotid artery stenting (CAS) is unclear. We assessed the reported association between operator specialization and procedural outcomes after CEA or CAS to determine whether CEA and CAS should be performed by specific specialties. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed and Embase up to August 21, 2017, for randomized clinical trials and observational studies that compared two or more specialties performing CEA or CAS for symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis. The composite primary outcome was procedural stroke or death (ie, occurring within 30 days of the procedure or before discharge). Risk estimates were pooled with a generic inverse variance random effects model. RESULTS: A total of 35 studies (26 providing data on CEA, 8 providing data on CAS, and 1 providing data on both CEA and CAS) were included, describing 256,033 CEA and 38,605 CAS procedures. For CEA, decreased risk of procedural stroke or death for operations performed by vascular surgeons was found with pooled unadjusted relative risk (RR) of 0.63 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.46-0.86; seven studies) compared with neurosurgeons and RR of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.66-0.99; six studies) compared with general surgeons. An increased risk of procedural stroke or death for operations performed by neurosurgeons compared with cardiothoracic surgeons was found with a pooled unadjusted RR of 1.22 (95% CI, 1.02-1.46). No studies adjusted for potential confounding, and no significant unadjusted associations were found in other comparisons of operator specialty for the primary outcome. For CAS, no differences in procedural stroke or death were found by operator specialty. CONCLUSIONS: Studies were at high risk of bias mainly because of potential confounding by patient selection for CEA and CAS. Current evidence is insufficient to restrict CEA or CAS to specific specialties.


Subject(s)
Carotid Artery Diseases/surgery , Endarterectomy, Carotid/adverse effects , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Postoperative Cognitive Complications/etiology , Specialization , Surgeons , Aged , Clinical Competence , Endovascular Procedures/instrumentation , Female , Humans , Male , Observational Studies as Topic , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stents , Treatment Outcome
15.
Neurology ; 93(21): e1971-e1979, 2019 11 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31659093

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The efficacy of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for the treatment of cerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) is uncertain, so we set out to quantify clinical outcomes after SRS for CCM and compare them to microsurgical excision or conservative management. METHODS: We searched Ovid Medline and Ovid EMBASE from inception until June 1, 2018, for peer-reviewed publications describing clinical outcomes after SRS for ≥10 people with CCM in cohorts with or without a comparison group treated with neurosurgical excision or conservative management. Two reviewers independently extracted data from the included studies to quantify cohort characteristics and the incidence of the primary outcome (death attributable to CCM or its treatment) and secondary outcomes (incident nonfatal symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage [ICH] and incident nonhemorrhagic persistent focal neurologic deficit [FND]). We assessed whether comparative studies showed a dramatic association (meaning the conventionally calculated probability comparing 2 differently managed patient groups from the same population was <0.01 with a rate ratio greater than 10). RESULTS: We included 30 cohort studies involving a total of 1,576 patients undergoing SRS for CCM. Four nonrandomized studies compared SRS to other treatment strategies, but did not demonstrate dramatic associations. During a median follow-up of 48 (interquartile range 35-62) months after SRS, the annual incidences (95% confidence interval) of outcomes were death 0.18% (0.10-0.31), ICH 2.40% (2.05-2.80), FND 0.71% (0.53-0.96), and the composite of death, ICH, or FND 3.63% (3.17-4.16). Outcomes did not differ by CCM location or type of SRS. CONCLUSION: After SRS for CCM, the annual incidences of death, ICH, and FND are <5% and seem comparable to outcomes without SRS. A randomized trial of SRS for CCM is needed.


Subject(s)
Brain Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Hemangioma, Cavernous, Central Nervous System/radiotherapy , Radiosurgery/methods , Cerebral Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Humans , Mortality , Treatment Outcome
17.
Ann Surg ; 269(4): 631-641, 2019 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30102632

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between operator or hospital volume and procedural outcomes of carotid revascularization. BACKGROUND: Operator and hospital volume have been proposed as determinants of outcome after carotid endarterectomy (CEA) or carotid artery stenting (CAS). The magnitude and clinical relevance of this relationship are debated. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed and EMBASE until August 21, 2017. The primary outcome was procedural (30 days, in-hospital, or perioperative) death or stroke. Obtained or estimated risk estimates were pooled with a generic inverse variance random-effects model. RESULTS: We included 87 studies. A decreased risk of death or stroke following CEA was found for high compared to low operator volume with a pooled adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.28-0.87; 3 cohorts), and a pooled unadjusted relative risk (RR) of 0.59 (95% CI 0.42-0.83; 9 cohorts); for high compared to low hospital volume with a pooled adjusted OR of 0.62 (95% CI 0.42-0.90; 5 cohorts), and a pooled unadjusted RR of 0.68 (95% CI 0.51-0.92; 9 cohorts). A decreased risk of death or stroke after CAS was found for high compared to low operator volume with an adjusted OR of 0.43 (95% CI 0.20-0.95; 1 cohort), and an unadjusted RR of 0.50 (95% CI 0.32-0.79; 1 cohort); for high compared to low hospital volume with an adjusted OR of 0.46 (95% CI 0.26-0.80; 1 cohort), and no significant decreased risk in a pooled unadjusted RR of 0.72 (95% CI 0.49-1.06; 2 cohorts). CONCLUSIONS: We found a decreased risk of procedural death and stroke after CEA and CAS for high operator and high hospital volume, indicating that aiming for a high volume may help to reduce procedural complications. REGISTRATION: This systematic review has been registered in the international prospective registry of systematic reviews (PROSPERO): CRD42017051491.


Subject(s)
Carotid Arteries/surgery , Carotid Stenosis/surgery , Endarterectomy, Carotid , Hospitals, High-Volume , Hospitals, Low-Volume , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Stents , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/prevention & control , Humans , Risk Assessment
19.
BMJ Case Rep ; 20182018 Aug 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30158264

ABSTRACT

Neurological manifestations of a primary Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection are rare. We describe a case with acute transverse myelitis and another case with a combination of polyradiculitis and anterior horn syndrome as manifestations of a primary EBV infection.The first case is a 50-year-old immunocompetent male diagnosed with acute transverse myelitis, 2 weeks after he was clinically diagnosed with infectious mononucleosis. The second case is an 18-year-old immunocompetent male diagnosed with a combination of polyradiculitis and anterior horn syndrome while he had infectious mononucleosis. The first patient was treated with methylprednisolone. After 1 year, he was able to stop performing clean intermittent self-catheterisation. The second patient completely recovered within 6 weeks without treatment.Primary EBV infection should be considered in immunocompetent patients presenting with acute transverse myelitis and a combination of polyradiculitis and anterior horn syndrome. Antiviral treatment and steroids are controversial, and the prognosis of neurological sequelae is largely unknown.


Subject(s)
Epstein-Barr Virus Infections/diagnosis , Motor Neuron Disease/diagnosis , Myelitis, Transverse/diagnosis , Polyradiculopathy/diagnosis , Adolescent , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Diagnosis, Differential , Epstein-Barr Virus Infections/complications , Epstein-Barr Virus Infections/diagnostic imaging , Epstein-Barr Virus Infections/drug therapy , Humans , Immunocompetence , Male , Middle Aged , Motor Neuron Disease/complications , Motor Neuron Disease/diagnostic imaging , Motor Neuron Disease/drug therapy , Myelitis, Transverse/complications , Myelitis, Transverse/diagnostic imaging , Myelitis, Transverse/drug therapy , Polyradiculopathy/complications , Polyradiculopathy/diagnostic imaging , Polyradiculopathy/drug therapy , Syndrome , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
20.
Implement Sci ; 13(1): 64, 2018 04 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29712556

ABSTRACT

After publication of the original article [1] it was brought to our attention that author Laura Hidalgo Armas was incorrectly included as Laura Hildago Armas.

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